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Do We Really Need Wall Street Analysts?

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Do we really need Wall Street analysts when they cannot even tell us the most crucial piece of information in investing? I am talking about when to sell.

We have had a pretty impressive run in stocks during the past nine years, especially over the past 15 months. What shocks me is that incredibly few Wall Street analysts are coming out and downgrading stocks to sells. Read More

GREED and FOMO

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Every month, I speak to around a hundred retail investors at a conference in Utah. Over past six months, I’ve been getting pretty much the same two questions. “Where do you think the market will go?” and “Would you invest in Bitcoin?” keep coming up. Both questions are obviously very subjective.
The more interesting question, the one that has plagued me at times throughout my career, is about the thought processes of investors.

Are You Diversified?

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With the markets hitting all-time highs almost every day, it brings me back to other time periods of my career when people could argue that the stock market might be getting overvalued.  When I think to 2000 and 2008, I remember friends and family coming to me afterward and asking for me to help them.  Obviously, there is nothing you can do after the fact; it’s like asking to buy insurance after the accident.  Read More

I’ve Seen This Show Before, or Have I?

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When I hear the phrase, “this time is different,” especially in reference to the valuation of the stock market or a particular stock or asset class, I laugh.  Because I have heard it over and over through-out my 23 years in the market, and it always turns out that this time was no different than all the other times.  Read More

America’s $4 Trillion Annual Albatross

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“A billion here and a billion there, and pretty soon you’re talking real money” – says fmr. Senator Everett Dirksen regarding regulations.

For all the jib-jab this election season over taxes and spending, any talk of the “gorilla in the room” — the billions and billions wasted each year in the name of federal regs — is a pretty rare bird. Read More

The Schadenfreude over Dennis Hastert

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Dennis Hastert, the former Speak of the House of Representatives, is a creep who belongs in jail, maybe worse. But Hastert isn’t going to jail for his sex crimes, or for that matter the seedy (but legal) “hush money” that he paid his victim. Read More

Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous Democrat Socialists

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Democrat socialists are the biggest hypocrites. Hand it to John F. Kerry. Among of the left-wing politicians complaining about “the rich” and raising taxes while at the same time dubiously making themselves very, very rich, Kerry seems to be better at it than anyone else. Sure, the Clintons have raked in $156 million in speaking fees since Bill left office, and there’s the crooked, “Clinton Foundation” slush fund. Read More

United Healthcare: A Canary in the Obamacare Coal Mine

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United Healthcare is abandoning ObamaCare (for the most part), and it’s is probably the leading edge of a mass exodus from Obamacare markets by other insurers. This will be a classic death spiral: as each insurer leaves the markets, it will ratchet the burden (losses) on those still there, and there’s more incentive for others to leave. Read More

Mugged by Reality

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One problem for Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton and their left wing comrades never really goes away. I’m not talking about scandals, bad judgment, poor track records, etc. – all of these slip right off the left wing Teflon. I’m talking about economic reality. Read More

Bill’s Back!

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If you thought the 2016 presidential circus campaign couldn’t get more entertaining, maybe you forgot: Bill Clinton is back, he’s ready to be America’s First Dude, and we are going to hear a lot from him until November.  He’s also a few decades older than the last time he really campaigned and like a lot of men around his age, he’s lost his “filter.” Read More